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The Nightwatchman in Test Cricket Betting Tips

The Nightwatchman in Test Cricket Betting Tips


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The language of Cricket Betting Tips has many colorful terms that may confuse the uninitiated. Among them is the "nightwatchman", not a security guard who stands over the ground to prevent intruders, but instead a lower-order batsman who comes in to bat in a specialist batsman's place near the end of a day's play in Test match Cricket Betting Tips. The reasoning behind the strategy is that the top-order, specialist batsmen should be protected from having to bat in bad light, and perhaps more so, not have to come back the next day and restart their innings. Many teams have employed this strategy throughout the history of Test Cricket Betting Tips and several centuries have been scored by nightwatchmen, perhaps most memorably Jason Gillespie's double-century against Bangladesh. But the concept of the nightwatchman is fundamentally flawed. First, the nightwatchman, usually a lower-order cricket live betting, may not actually manage to bat all the way to the end of the day's play.


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The reason why these players are coming in at number 9 or 10 to begin with is that they are poor players who tend to be dismissed early on in the innings. And if the nightwatchman does get out, now the batsman has to come in and get a start twice in a row in very quick succession, since there will be fewer deliveries to be played until the end of the day. But the real problem with the nightwatchman concept is that it shuffles the team's batting order. From a psychological perspective, many top-order players may not be used to batting with the tail, which may lead to more run-outs and other misunderstandings. But worst of all, from a purely mathematical perspective, the nightwatchman ploy costs the team runs. By taking one of the worst batsmen from the bottom of the order, the better players are all moved down, making them each slightly more likely to be left not out at the end of the innings. What this means is that on average, in the nightwatchman scenario the team will be using their batting resources less efficiently than with a perfect lineup, where the worst players all bat at the very end. Consider the extreme scenario where a team put its best cricket live betting at number 11. This cricket live betting would only get to bat 15 or so deliveries on average and would often be left stranded when he could have gone on to make many more runs.


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This cricket live betting might only be able to contribute around 25% of his batting skill compared to if he had bat fourth. While the situation is not as extreme for only moving each cricket live betting down one or two spots, it can still add up to several runs over the course of an innings on average. And the psychological impact that shuffling the order has on scoring may be much greater. While the difference may be small, in today's highly competitive international Cricket Betting Tips environment, there is no room for such flawed strategies. What this means is that on average, in the nightwatchman scenario the team will be using their batting resources less efficiently than with a perfect lineup, where the worst players all bat at the very end. Consider the extreme scenario where a team put its best player at number 11. This player would only get to bat 15 or so deliveries on average and would often be left stranded when he could have gone on to make many more runs. This player might only be able to contribute around 25% of his batting skill compared to if he had bat fourth.
 
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